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Situations

Where money or control changes hands at a UK small cap – takeovers, disposals, capital returns, activists, stake building, refinancings. Each one followed from the first announcement to the outcome.

Results and guidance ahead of or below expectations, upgrades and profit warnings.

  1. Profit outlook Celebrus Technologies CLBS£19m

    New business and logo wins

    The go-to-market restructure (Marketing, Sales, Customer Success) was meant to fix FY26's new business shortfall.

    Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −40%In 12 months 2 statements in the same direction
    Next H1 FY27 results and presentation 8 Dec · in 42 days −41% since 14 Jul · moved 6 Oct
  2. Profit outlook GB Group GBG£354m

    Profit warning

    GB Group issued a profit warning on 14 Aug 2026; the shares moved −31% on the day.

    Stage Profit warningDirection below expectations / warningReaction on the day −31%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    −31% since 14 Aug · moved 14 Aug
  3. Profit outlook CT Automotive Group CTA£14m

    Key customer price dispute

    CT Automotive Group issued a profit warning on 16 Sep 2026; the shares moved −30% on the day.

    Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −30%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    Next update market as discussions conclude and range narrows −41% since 16 Sep · moved 16 Sep
  4. Profit outlook Vanquis Banking Group 20 VANQ£181m

    Returns guidance reset

    Vanquis had guided to low double digit statutory ROTE for 2026 as recently as May 2026. At the half year it cut 2026 to low single digit, as lower Credit Card yields from new customers and cautious spending moderate returns.

    Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −26%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    Next FY26 results: dividend decision and ROTE delivery −40% since 30 Jul · moved 30 Jul
  5. Profit outlook Craneware CRW£374m

    Profit warning

    Craneware issued a profit warning on 21 Sep 2026; the shares moved −26% on the day. It is the second such statement in 12 months.

    Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −26%In 12 months 2 statements in the same direction
    −26% since 3 Jul · moved 21 Sep
  6. Profit outlook Saga SAGA£1,165m

    Profit upgrade

    Saga raised its guidance on 30 Sep 2026; the shares moved +23% on the day. It is the third such statement in 12 months.

    Direction ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +23%In 12 months 3 statements in the same direction
    +28% since 30 Sep · moved 30 Sep
  7. Profit outlook Kainos Group KNOS£1,520m

    Profit upgrade

    Kainos Group raised its guidance on 18 Aug 2026; the shares moved +22% on the day. It is the second such statement in 12 months.

    Direction ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +22%In 12 months 2 statements in the same direction
    +65% since 18 May · moved 18 Aug
  8. Profit outlook iFOREX Financial Trading Holdings Ltd. IFRX£32m

    Profit warning

    IFOREX Financial Trading Holdings Ltd. issued a profit warning on 19 Aug 2026; the shares moved −22% on the day.

    Stage Profit warningDirection below expectations / warningReaction on the day −22%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    −23% since 19 Aug · moved 19 Aug
  9. Profit outlook Corero Network Security CNS£77m

    Profit upgrade

    Corero Network Security raised its guidance on 9 Sep 2026; the shares moved +21% on the day. It is the third such statement in 12 months.

    Direction ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +21%In 12 months 3 statements in the same direction
    +76% since 9 Sep · moved 9 Sep
  10. Profit outlook Mortgage Advice Bureau (Holdings) MAB1£220m

    Profit warning

    Mortgage Advice Bureau issued a profit warning on 9 Sep 2026; the shares moved −20% on the day.

    Stage Profit warningDirection below expectations / warningReaction on the day −20%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    −18% since 9 Sep · moved 9 Sep
  11. Profit outlook MyCelx Technologies Corporation MYX£12m

    Middle East conflict exposure

    Impact on 2026 business was not assessable in May. In July several large Middle East projects were expected within six months.

    Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −20%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    Next Middle East purchase order award for the delayed project −19% since 8 Oct · moved 8 Oct
  12. Profit outlook Raspberry PI Holdings (WI) RPI£1,059m

    Profit upgrade

    Raspberry PI Holdings raised its guidance on 24 Sep 2026; the shares moved +20% on the day. It is the fourth such statement in 12 months.

    Direction ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +20%In 12 months 4 statements in the same direction
    +84% since 13 Jan · moved 24 Sep
  13. Profit outlook RentGuarantor Holdings PLC RGG£174m

    Profit upgrade

    RentGuarantor Holdings PLC raised its guidance on 1 Oct 2026; the shares moved +18% on the day. It is the third such statement in 12 months.

    Direction ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +18%In 12 months 3 statements in the same direction
    +32% since 2 Sep · moved 1 Oct
  14. Profit outlook TPXimpact Holdings TPX£90m new

    Profit upgrade

    TPXimpact Holdings raised its guidance on 15 Oct 2026; the shares moved +17% on the day. It is the second such statement in 12 months.

    Direction ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +17%In 12 months 2 statements in the same direction
    +24% since 15 Oct · moved 15 Oct
  15. Profit outlook Ashtead Technology Holdings AT.£489m

    Middle East conflict exposure

    The Middle East conflict, unresolved since March 2026, has cut regional activity and pushed projects into 2027, prompting guidance cuts in July and August.

    Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −16%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    +42% since 20 Aug · moved 20 Aug
  16. Profit outlook Facilities by ADF ADF£11m

    Profit warning

    Facilities by ADF issued a profit warning on 16 Sep 2026; the shares moved −16% on the day.

    Stage Profit warningDirection below expectations / warningReaction on the day −16%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    −22% since 16 Sep · moved 16 Sep
  17. Profit outlook THG THG£630m

    Profit upgrade

    THG raised its guidance on 15 Oct 2026; the shares moved +16% on the day. It is the fourth such statement in 12 months.

    Direction ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +16%In 12 months 4 statements in the same direction
    +29% since 10 Sep · moved 15 Oct
  18. Profit outlook Victrex plc VCT£777m

    Profit upgrade

    Victrex plc raised its guidance on 9 Sep 2026; the shares moved +16% on the day.

    Stage Guidance raisedDirection ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +16%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    +4% since 9 Sep · moved 9 Sep
  19. Profit outlook Medpal AI PLC MPAL£46m

    Results ahead of expectations

    Medpal AI PLC said it is trading ahead of expectations on 7 Sep 2026; the shares moved +15% on the day.

    Stage Ahead of expectationsDirection ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +15%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    −4% since 7 Sep · moved 7 Sep
  20. Profit outlook Winvia Entertainment PLC WVIA£292m

    Profit upgrade

    Winvia Entertainment PLC raised its guidance on 28 Sep 2026; the shares moved +15% on the day. It is the fourth such statement in 12 months.

    Direction ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +15%In 12 months 4 statements in the same direction
    +29% since 27 Jan · moved 28 Sep
  21. Profit outlook Avon Technologies plc AVON£700m

    Profit upgrade

    Avon Technologies plc raised its guidance on 7 Oct 2026; the shares moved +15% on the day.

    Stage Guidance raisedDirection ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +15%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    +29% since 7 Oct · moved 7 Oct
  22. Profit outlook Marston's MARS£364m

    Profit upgrade

    Marston's raised its guidance on 13 Oct 2026; the shares moved +15% on the day. It is the third such statement in 12 months.

    Direction ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +15%In 12 months 3 statements in the same direction
    +3% since 21 Jul · moved 13 Oct
  23. Profit outlook Hunting HTG£585m

    Middle East conflict exposure

    Middle East conflict was flagged in March 2026 as a tender slippage risk with minimal 2026 profit impact expected. By 21 Aug 2026 the delay has become material: the KOC tender re-run cuts 2026 EBITDA by c.$10m.

    Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −14%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    Next KOC OCTG tender re-issue in Q3 2026 −13% since 21 Aug · moved 21 Aug
  24. Profit outlook Cropper (James) CRPR£76m

    Profit upgrade

    Cropper raised its guidance on 20 Oct 2026; the shares moved +14% on the day. It is the third such statement in 12 months.

    Direction ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +14%In 12 months 3 statements in the same direction
    +184% since 14 Apr · moved 20 Oct
  25. Profit outlook ASOS ASC£524m

    Profit upgrade

    ASOS raised its guidance on 24 Sep 2026; the shares moved +14% on the day.

    Stage Guidance raisedDirection ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +14%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    +2% since 24 Sep · moved 24 Sep
  26. Profit outlook Cerillion CER£207m

    Profit warning

    Cerillion issued a profit warning on 14 Sep 2026; the shares moved −12% on the day.

    Stage Profit warningDirection below expectations / warningReaction on the day −12%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    −20% since 14 Sep · moved 14 Sep
  27. Profit outlook Fonix Plc FNX£171m

    Profit upgrade

    Fonix Plc raised its guidance on 22 Sep 2026; the shares moved +12% on the day.

    Stage Guidance raisedDirection ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +12%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    +4% since 22 Sep · moved 22 Sep
  28. Profit outlook Hilton Food Group HFG£645m

    Results ahead of expectations

    Hilton Food Group said it is trading ahead of expectations on 3 Sep 2026; the shares moved +12% on the day.

    Stage Ahead of expectationsDirection ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +12%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    +14% since 3 Sep · moved 3 Sep
  29. Profit outlook The Beauty Tech Group PLC TBTG£504m

    Profit upgrade

    The Beauty Tech Group PLC raised its guidance on 17 Sep 2026; the shares moved +12% on the day. It is the fourth such statement in 12 months.

    Direction ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +12%In 12 months 5 statements in the same direction
    +118% since 19 Nov · moved 17 Sep
  30. Profit outlook Accsys Technologies AXS£134m

    Profit warning

    Accsys Technologies issued a profit warning on 21 Sep 2026; the shares moved −12% on the day.

    Stage Profit warningDirection below expectations / warningReaction on the day −12%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    −24% since 21 Sep · moved 21 Sep
  31. Profit outlook Genuit Group GEN£640m new

    Subdued market and profit guidance

    Since Nov 2025 profit guidance has tracked a subdued market. In May 2026 FY26 was guided to the lower end of the £94.7m-£105.5m range, and on 11 Aug H1 came in line.

    Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −12%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    Next FY26 results with 2027 outlook 1 Mar · in 125 days −10% since 20 Oct · moved 20 Oct
  32. Profit outlook 4Imprint Group FOUR£1,222m

    Profit upgrade

    4Imprint Group raised its guidance on 5 Aug 2026; the shares moved +11% on the day.

    Stage Guidance raisedDirection ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +11%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    +0% since 5 Aug · moved 5 Aug
  33. Profit outlook Investacc Group Limited INAC£99m

    Profit upgrade

    Investacc Group Limited raised its guidance on 17 Aug 2026; the shares moved +11% on the day.

    Stage Guidance raisedDirection ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +11%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    +20% since 17 Aug · moved 17 Aug
  34. Profit outlook Synthomer SYNT£185m

    Profit upgrade

    Synthomer said it is trading ahead of expectations on 4 Aug 2026; the shares moved +11% on the day. It is the second such statement in 12 months.

    Direction ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +11%In 12 months 2 statements in the same direction
    −8% since 22 Jun · moved 4 Aug
  35. Profit outlook Serabi Gold SRB£137m new

    Profit warning

    Serabi Gold issued a profit warning on 21 Oct 2026; the shares moved −11% on the day.

    Stage Profit warningDirection below expectations / warningReaction on the day −11%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    −24% since 21 Oct · moved 21 Oct
  36. Profit outlook Inspiration Healthcare Group IHC£17m

    Results ahead of expectations

    Inspiration Healthcare Group said it is trading ahead of expectations on 8 Sep 2026; the shares moved +11% on the day. It is the fourth such statement in 12 months.

    Direction ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +11%In 12 months 4 statements in the same direction
    −29% since 16 Jun · moved 8 Sep
  37. Profit outlook TT Electronics TTG£331m

    Profit upgrade

    TT Electronics raised its guidance on 2 Sep 2026; the shares moved +11% on the day.

    Stage Guidance raisedDirection ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +11%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    +38% since 2 Sep · moved 2 Sep
  38. Profit outlook Diales Group Plc DIAL£17m new

    Results ahead of expectations

    Diales Group Plc said it is trading ahead of expectations on 19 Oct 2026; the shares moved +10% on the day. It is the second such statement in 12 months.

    Direction ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +10%In 12 months 2 statements in the same direction
    −3% since 19 Oct · moved 19 Oct
  39. Profit outlook Ixico IXI£22m

    Profit upgrade

    Ixico raised its guidance on 20 Oct 2026; the shares moved +10% on the day. It is the second such statement in 12 months.

    Direction ahead of expectations / raisedReaction on the day +10%In 12 months 2 statements in the same direction
    +26% since 7 Jul · moved 20 Oct
  40. Profit outlook Thor Explorations Ltd THX£330m new

    Profit warning

    Thor Explorations Ltd issued a profit warning on 14 Oct 2026; the shares moved −9% on the day.

    Stage Profit warningDirection below expectations / warningReaction on the day −9%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    −17% since 14 Oct · moved 14 Oct

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A row opens the situation with its chart and every step. Company pages also show the smaller matters – a new CEO, a plan, a contract, director buying.

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