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Quarterly Syndicate Mid-point Forecasts

In brief · summary, not quotable

2023 year of account forecast improved to 15.6% profit on capacity; 2024 forecast at 8.0% despite California wildfire losses.

  • 2023 YOA mid-point forecast 15.6% (prior 15.2%)
  • 2024 YOA mid-point forecast 8.0% (prior 7.6%)
  • Total capacity (2025) £490.9m
  • 2025 dividend per share 10 pence
Full announcement

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Helios Underwriting, the only publicly traded company offering instant access to a diverse portfolio of syndicates at Lloyd's of London, the world's largest insurance market, announces the current mid-point forecasts in respect of its portfolio of syndicate capacity for the 2023 and 2024 years of account based on second quarter 2025 mid-point forecasts.

John Chambers, Interim Executive Chairman, commented:

"The continuing strong financial performance of Helios reflects the strength of our unique proposition, our continued strategic delivery and favourable underwriting conditions. As a result, we have been able to continue to unlock shareholder returns, including a dividend payment of 10 pence per share in 2025."

"The period has been characterised by an increasingly disciplined approach to the allocation of capital - prioritising established syndicates with profitable track records over new syndicates - while making headway in bringing our operational costs down to a more sustainable level.

"We believe that the best years of this insurance cycle remain ahead of us from a returns perspective. Our portfolio management team has worked to increase the quality of Helios' syndicate portfolio, which will show through in future years. Meanwhile, the Lloyd's three-year accounting structure provides the Company with good visibility for the next two years, where we expect to see a similar level of capital returned to Shareholders."

202320242025
£m£m£m
Total capacity as at 22 nd August 2025
Retained251.7403.5322.6
Reinsured66.3115.2158.3
318.0518.7490.9
Mid-point forecast at 31st March 202515.2%7.6%
Current mid-point forecast (30 th June 2025)15.6%8.0%
Change in mid-point forecast0.4%0.4%

Activity During the Period

The 2023 mid-point forecast continues to improve to 15.6% (15.2% as at Q1 2025) in line with expectations. Historic development patterns would indicate that further improvement is likely in the final half year.

The 2024 calendar year experienced above average levels of catastrophe losses and whilst the significant California wildfires occurred at the start of this year the majority of claims fall back to the 2024 year of account. In spite of this the mid-point forecast at 8.0% profit on capacity (7.6% as at Q1 2025), has improved and the year is tracking towards a strong ultimate result. This demonstrating the underlying strength of pricing adequacy.

Notes

  • The table above shows the capacity as at 22nd August 2025, splitting the capacity retained by Helios and the capacity that is ceded to quota share reinsurers and third-party participants.
  • The mid-point forecasts for 2023 and 2024 years of account as at second quarter 2025 have been aggregated at syndicate level from estimates supplied by Managing Agents.
  • Helios mid-points forecasts have been adjusted for additional expenses charged on syndicates 1902 & 1988, outside the results reported by Lloyd's.
  • Helios mid-points forecasts include estimated profit for seven Syndicate in a Box (SIAB's) supported for the 2024 YOA. These estimates are not included in the market results reported by Lloyd's.

Cleaned text: letterheads, contacts and legal notices removed. View the original announcement ↗ · Company filings. Not investment advice.

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