2023 Annual Results, MD&A and Reserves Report
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ARROW ANNOUNCES 2023 AUDITED YEAR END AND Q4 2023 RESULTS, FILING OF AUDITED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS, MD&A AND RESERVES REPORT
Significant growth across key metrics including 79% increase in total revenue, increase in production of 61% and healthy cash position
CALGARY, April 29, 2024 - Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL; TSXV: AXL) ("Arrow" or the "Company") the high-growth operator with a portfolio of assets across key Colombian hydrocarbon basins, announces the filing of its Annual Audited Financial Statements and Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2023 and the filing of its 2023 year-end reserves report, which are available on SEDAR (www.sedar.com) and will also shortly be available on Arrow's website at www.arrowexploration.ca.
Full Year 2023 Highlights:
- Significant 79% growth in total oil and gas revenue to $44.7 million, net of royalties (FY 2022: $25.0 million).
- Net loss of $1.1 million inclusive of an impairment loss of $11.8 million (FY: 2022: net income of $0.3 million)
- Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled to $27 million (FY 2022: $12.5 million), with Q4 2023 EBITDA of $7.1 million compared to $4.5 million in Q4 2022.
- Cash position of $12 million at the end of 2023.
- Annual average corporate production up 61% to 2,167 boe/d (FY 2022: 1,345 boe/d) with Q4 2023 average corporate production of 2,335 boe/d compared to Q4 2022 1,736 boe/d.
- Realized corporate operating netbacks of $45.17/boe, and $40.49/boe in Q4 2023, due to increased production and better prices of crude oil.
- Funds flow from operations of $19.9 million (FY 2022: $9.5 million) with Q4 2023 funds flow from operations of $3.8 million (FY 2022: $2.0 million)
- Proved and probable reserves at year-end 2023 increased 54% to 11.8 MMboe; representing a reserve replacement ratio of 621%.
- Successfully drilled an exploration well at Carrizales Norte (CN), which added significant reserves to the Company, followed by drilling of two more CN wells
- Drilled six Rio Cravo Este (RCE) wells resulting in material production and reserves increases. Successfully completed two workovers in the RCE-1 and RCS-1 wells at Rio Cravo.
- Drilled two Oso Pardo (OP) wells in the Santa Isabel block, resulting in additional production.
- All operations delivered safely, with no accidents or environmental incidents.
Post Period End Highlights:
- So far in 2024, the Company has drilled six development wells on the Carrizales Norte field in the Tapir Block, which are all currently producing at restricted rates. Ramping production up slowly prevents early water breakthrough in each well.
- Currently mobilizing the drilling rig to the Carrizales Norte B (CNB) pad to start drilling the first horizontal well.
Outlook
- Arrow has a fully funded 2024 work program totaling $45 million targeting up to 16 wells mainly in the Tapir block.
- Most development wells will be drilled in Carrizales Norte, including the Company's first horizontal wells and recently identified prospects in Baquiano and Mateguafa Attic.
Marshall Abbott, CEO of Arrow Exploration Corp., commented:
"2023 was a great year for the Company on all fronts. We saw substantial growth in production, revenue and EBITDA and our healthy balance sheet supports the aggressive capital program planned for 2024.
So far in 2024, Arrow has completed drilling of CN-4 through CN-8 and all wells are currently on production. CN-8 was a long reach well targeting the C7 formation. The well was successful in an area that before was not considered prospective and supports the stratigraphic play thesis as well as additional reserves additions. Arrow is considering a 2024 mid-year reserve report to give investors an indication of the reserves additions discovered by the CN-5 and CN-8 wells.
Arrow is now moving the drilling rig to the Carrizales Norte B (CNB) pad where the first horizontal well is expected to be spud in May and on production in June. Arrow then plans to drill up to three or four additional horizontal wells at the CNB pad and one water disposal well. Additionally, Arrow plans to convert one of the Carrizales Norte wells into a water disposal well.
Following work at the CNB pad, Arrow plans to move the drilling rig to the Baquiano pad to drill the first exploration well at Baquiano. With success, two additional Baquiano wells are planned to be drilled. Arrow expects the first horizontal well at Carrizales Norte to have a significant impact on the Company's production and the Baquiano exploration well to have further significant impact to both the Company's production and reserves. The Arrow team continues to strive towards operational excellence and increasing shareholder value."
CN-7
The CN-7 well was spud on March 19th, 2024, and reached target depth on March 26th, 2024. The well was drilled to a total measured depth of 9730 feet (8710 feet true vertical depth) and encountered multiple hydrocarbon-bearing intervals. Arrow has completed the CN-7 well in the Carbonera formation which has approximately 19 feet of net oil pay. The pay zone is a clean sandstone exhibiting consistent 28% porosity and high resistivities. An electric submersible pump (ESP) has been inserted in the well after perforating. The well has been put on production and is currently producing at 320 BOPD gross (160 BOPD net). The testing results indicate the well is capable of higher rates and the ultimate flow rate will be determined in the first few weeks of production.
CN-8
The CN-8 well was spud on April 5th, 2024, and reached target depth on April 12th, 2024. The well was drilled to a total measured depth of 10320 feet (8664 feet true vertical depth) and encountered multiple hydrocarbon-bearing intervals. Arrow has completed the CN-8 well in the Carbonera formation which has approximately 14 feet of net oil pay. The pay zone is a clean sandstone exhibiting consistent 25% porosity and high resistivities. An electric submersible pump (ESP) has been inserted in the well after perforating.
The well has been put on production, is in the process of cleaning up and stabilizing, and is currently producing at 330 BOPD gross (165 BOPD net). The testing results indicate the well is capable of higher rates and the ultimate flow rate will be determined in the first few weeks of production.
FINANCIAL AND OPERATING HIGHLIGHTS
| (in United States dollars, except as otherwise noted) | Three months ended December 31, 2023 | Year ended December 31, 2023 | Three months ended December 31, 2022 | Year ended December 31, 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total natural gas and crude oil revenues, net of royalties | 13,406,513 | 44,670,006 | 8,931,562 | 24,973,464 |
| Funds flow from operations (1) | 3,781,033 | 19,990,584 | 1,960,289 | 9,493,208 |
| Funds flow from operations (1) per share - | ||||
| Basic($) | 0.01 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Diluted ($) | 0.01 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| Net (loss) income | (10,492,053) | (1,106,613) | 2,968,117 | 346,524 |
| Net (loss) income per share - | ||||
| Basic ($) | (0.04) | (0.00) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Diluted ($) | (0.04) | (0.00) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Adjusted EBITDA (1) | 7,132,422 | 27,157,169 | 4,456,757 | 12,493,099 |
| Weighted average shares outstanding: | ||||
| Basic | 278,144,305 | 242,537,228 | 217,784,100 | 215,468,129 |
| Diluted | 291,404,032 | 289,903,094 | 288,239,348 | 279,288,480 |
| Common shares end of period | 285,864,348 | 285,864,348 | 218,401,931 | 218,401,931 |
| Capital expenditures | 10,471,447 | 27,084,959 | 2,106,463 | 7,668,988 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 12,135,376 | 12,135,376 | 13,060,968 | 13,060,968 |
| Current assets | 21,629,198 | 21,629,198 | 17,504,225 | 17,504,225 |
| Current liabilities | 12,960,084 | 12,960,084 | 18,820,890 | 18,820,890 |
| Adjusted working capital (1) | 8,669,114 | 8,669,114 | 8,223,758 | 8,223,758 |
| Restricted cash and deposits (2) | 854,834 | 854,834 | 765,586 | 765,586 |
| Total assets | 62,275,023 | 62,275,023 | 53,190,248 | 53,190,248 |
| Operating | ||||
| Natural gas and crude oil production, before royalties | ||||
| Natural gas (Mcf/d) | 1,819 | 2,150 | 3,270 | 2,958 |
| Natural gas liquids (bbl/d) | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| Crude oil (bbl/d) | 2,027 | 1,805 | 1,185 | 847 |
| Total (boe/d) | 2,335 | 2,167 | 1,736 | 1,345 |
| Operating netbacks ($/boe) (1) | ||||
| Natural gas ($/Mcf) | ($0.21) | ($0.13) | $0.57 | $1.01 |
| Crude oil ($/bbl) | $45.91 | $53.97 | $57.88 | $65.06 |
| Total ($/boe) | $40.49 | $45.17 | $41.95 | $42.40 |
(1)Non-IFRS measures - see "Non-IFRS Measures" section within this MD&A
(2)Long term restricted cash not included in working capital
2023 Year-End Reserves
Arrow has also filed on SEDAR, the Company's Statement of Reserves Data and Other Oil and Gas Information, Report on Reserves Data by Independent Qualified Reserves Evaluator, and Report of Management and Directors on Oil and Gas Disclosure for the year ended December 31, 2023, as required by section 2.1 of National Instrument 51-101 - Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (together, the "Reserve Report").
To recap, the Company's Year-End 2023 Company Working Interest Gross Reserves Highlights include:
- 5,292 Mboe of Proved Reserves ("1P Reserves");
- 11,847 Mboe of Proved plus Probable Reserves ("2P Reserves");
- 17,805 Mboe of Proved plus Probable plus Possible Reserves ("3P Reserves")1;
- 1P Reserves estimated net present value before income taxes of US$135 million calculated at a 10% discount rate;
- 2P Reserves estimated net present value before income taxes of US$280 million calculated at a 10% discount rate; and
- 3P Reserves estimated net present value before income taxes of US$445 million calculated at a 10% discount rate.
Arrow refers readers to the Company's press release of March 28, 2024 for additional details, as well as to the Reserve Report filed on SEDAR.
Discussion of Operating Results
The Company increased its production from new wells at both Rio Cravo Este and Carrizales Norte fields in the Tapir block. These have allowed the Company to continue to improve its operating results and EBITDA. There has also been a decrease in the Company's natural gas production in Canada due to natural declines.
Average Production by Property
| Average Production Boe/d | YTD 2023 | Q4 2023 | Q3 2023 | Q2 2023 | Q1 2023 | Q4 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oso Pardo | 110 | 80 | 93 | 130 | 138 | 115 |
| Ombu (Capella) | 20 | - | - | - | 80 | 238 |
| Rio Cravo Este (Tapir) | 1,342 | 1,326 | 1,443 | 1,592 | 1,004 | 832 |
| Carrizales Norte (Tapir) | 332 | 621 | 642 | 57 | - | - |
| Total Colombia | 1,805 | 2,027 | 2,178 | 1,779 | 1,222 | 1,185 |
| Fir, Alberta | 78 | 80 | 81 | 77 | 74 | 79 |
| Pepper, Alberta | 284 | 228 | 259 | 313 | 340 | 472 |
| TOTAL (Boe/d) | 2,167 | 2,335 | 2,518 | 2,169 | 1,635 | 1,736 |
The Company's average production for the year and the three months ended December 31, 2023 was 2,167 boe/d and 2,335 boe/d, respectively, which consisted of crude oil production in Colombia of 1,805 bbl/d and 2,027 bbl/d, natural gas production of 2,150 Mcf/d and 1,819 Mcf/d, respectively, and minor amounts of natural gas liquids from the Company's Canadian properties. The Company's total 2023 production was 67% higher than its total 2022 production.
Discussion of Financial Results
During Q4 2023 the Company continued to realize strong oil and gas prices, as summarized below.
Three months ended December 31
| 2023 | 2022 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark Prices | |||
| AECO (C$/Mcf) | $2.34 | $4.42 | (47%) |
| Brent ($/bbl) | $77.32 | $88.59 | (13%) |
| West Texas Intermediate ($/bbl) | $78.35 | $82.65 | (5%) |
| Realized Prices | |||
| Natural gas, net of transportation ($/Mcf) | $1.68 | $3.66 | (54%) |
| Natural gas liquids ($/bbl) | $68.30 | $68.28 | 0% |
| Crude oil, net of transportation ($/bbl) | $69.61 | $72.29 | (4%) |
| Corporate average, net of transport ($/boe) (1) | $62.72 | $57.53 | 9% |
(1)Non-IFRS measure
As at December 31, 2023, the Company reviewed its cash-generating units ("CGU") for property and equipment and determined that there were indicators of impairment loss in its Canada CGU and its Capella block in Colombia and recognized a loss of $11,799,740.
Operating Netbacks
The Company also continued to realize positive operating netbacks, as summarized below.
| Three months ended December 31 | Year ended December 31 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | |
| Natural Gas ($/Mcf) | ||||
| Revenue, net of transportation expense | $1.68 | $3.66 | $1.94 | $3.94 |
| Royalties | (0.05) | (0.50) | (0.02) | (0.60) |
| Operating expenses | (1.84) | (2.59) | (2.05) | (2.34) |
| Natural Gas operating netback (1) | ($0.21) | $0.57 | ($0.13) | $1.01 |
| Crude oil ($/bbl) | ||||
| Revenue, net of transportation expense | $69.61 | $72.29 | $72.05 | $83.10 |
| Royalties | (7.97) | (6.33) | (8.69) | (8.81) |
| Operating expenses | (15.73) | (8.08) | (9.39) | (9.24) |
| Crude Oil operating netback (1) | $45.91 | $57.88 | $53.97 | $65.06 |
| Corporate ($/boe) | ||||
| Revenue, net of transportation expense | $62.72 | $57.53 | $62.31 | $60.20 |
| Royalties | (7.07) | (5.34) | (7.30) | (6.77) |
| Operating expenses | (15.16) | (10.24) | (9.84) | (11.04) |
| Corporate Operating netback (1) | $40.49 | $41.95 | $45.17 | $42.40 |
(1)Non-IFRS measure
The operating netbacks of the Company maintained healthy levels during 2023 due to increased production from its Colombian assets, notwithstanding lower crude oil prices, which was offset by decreases in natural gas prices and higher operating expenses for natural gas.
During 2023, the Company invested $27 million of capital expenditures, primarily in connection with the drilling of 9 wells in the Tapir Block (6 RCE and 3 CN), two Oso Pardo wells, and acquisition of 100 km2 of 3D seismic in the Tapir block to highlight existing leads and prospects for drilling. This acceleration in operational tempo is expected to continue in 2024, funded by cash on hand and cashflow.
About Arrow Exploration Corp.
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