Situations
Where money or control changes hands at a UK small cap – takeovers, disposals, capital returns, activists, stake building, refinancings. Each one followed from the first announcement to the outcome.
Results and guidance ahead of or below expectations, upgrades and profit warnings.
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Profit outlook Robinson RBN£19m new
2026 profit guidance
Guidance was lowered in December 2025 and on 20 August 2026 to £2.2m-£2.6m after Middle East cost pressure. On 25 September the Board said 2026 was in line, but a £3.3m-revenue contract would not be renewed.
Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −8%In 12 months 1 statement in the same directionGuidance cut again to £1.2m-£1.6mNext 2026 results and FY2027 mitigation update 4 Mar · in 129 days -
Profit outlook Camellia CAM£135m
Full-year trading outlook
On 26 Aug Kakuzi flagged 2026 net earnings at least 25% lower, and the H1 results (3 Sep) added El Nino as a headwind.
Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −7%In 12 months 2 statements in the same directionGuidance cut to £3-5m trading lossNext final 2026 trading result, shaped by Q4 phasing -
Profit outlook Serabi Gold SRB£137m new
Profit warning
Serabi Gold issued a profit warning on 21 Oct 2026; the shares moved −11% on the day.
Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −11%In 12 months 1 statement in the same directionProfit warning -
Profit outlook Genuit Group GEN£640m new
Subdued market and profit guidance
Since Nov 2025 profit guidance has tracked a subdued market. In May 2026 FY26 was guided to the lower end of the £94.7m-£105.5m range, and on 11 Aug H1 came in line.
Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −12%In 12 months 1 statement in the same directionFY26 profit guided down to c.£84mNext FY26 results with 2027 outlook 1 Mar · in 126 days -
Profit outlook Iofina IOF£90m new
Results below expectations
Iofina said it is trading below expectations on 16 Oct 2026; the shares moved −7% on the day.
Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −7%In 12 months 1 statement in the same directionBelow expectations -
Profit outlook Thor Explorations Ltd THX£330m new
Profit warning
Thor Explorations Ltd issued a profit warning on 14 Oct 2026; the shares moved −9% on the day.
Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −9%In 12 months 1 statement in the same directionProfit warning -
Profit outlook Caledonia Mining Corporation CMCL£310m
Profit warning
Caledonia Mining Corporation issued a profit warning on 9 Oct 2026; the shares moved −4% on the day. It is the second such statement in 12 months.
Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −4%In 12 months 2 statements in the same directionProfit warning · second in 12 months -
Profit outlook Oxford Metrics OMG£39m
FY26 guidance cut
On 17 June 2026 FY26 revenue guidance of c.£56m for the 15 months was confirmed. On 9 October 2026 the Board cut it to £47-51m with an Adjusted EBIT loss of £0.5-3.9m, against market expectations of £56.2m and a £3.0m profit.
Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −6%In 12 months 1 statement in the same directionWarning issued 9 October 2026Next Interim results for 12 months to 30 September 2026 -
Profit outlook MyCelx Technologies Corporation MYX£12m
Middle East conflict exposure
Impact on 2026 business was not assessable in May. In July several large Middle East projects were expected within six months.
Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −20%In 12 months 1 statement in the same directionAward missed FY2026 window; revenue moves to FY2027Next Middle East purchase order award for the delayed project -
Profit outlook Celebrus Technologies CLBS£19m
New business and logo wins
The go-to-market restructure (Marketing, Sales, Customer Success) was meant to fix FY26's new business shortfall.
Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −40%In 12 months 2 statements in the same directionRestructure not yet converting; ARR fallingNext H1 FY27 results and presentation 8 Dec · in 43 days -
Profit outlook Tekmar Group TGP£16m
Middle East disruption to projects
The 18 June 2026 interims reported Middle East delays, higher costs and deferred Offshore Energy Services activity, with bottlenecks easing.
Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −6%In 12 months 1 statement in the same directionProlonged; now deferring Q4 work and awards
A row opens the situation with its chart and every step. Company pages also show the smaller matters – a new CEO, a plan, a contract, director buying.