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Situations

Where money or control changes hands at a UK small cap – takeovers, disposals, capital returns, activists, stake building, refinancings. Each one followed from the first announcement to the outcome.

Results and guidance ahead of or below expectations, upgrades and profit warnings.

  1. Profit outlook Robinson RBN£19m new

    2026 profit guidance

    Guidance was lowered in December 2025 and on 20 August 2026 to £2.2m-£2.6m after Middle East cost pressure. On 25 September the Board said 2026 was in line, but a £3.3m-revenue contract would not be renewed.

    Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −8%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    Guidance cut again to £1.2m-£1.6m
    Next 2026 results and FY2027 mitigation update 4 Mar · in 129 days
    −4% since 23 Oct · moved 23 Oct
  2. Profit outlook Camellia CAM£135m

    Full-year trading outlook

    On 26 Aug Kakuzi flagged 2026 net earnings at least 25% lower, and the H1 results (3 Sep) added El Nino as a headwind.

    Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −7%In 12 months 2 statements in the same direction
    Guidance cut to £3-5m trading loss
    Next final 2026 trading result, shaped by Q4 phasing
    −9% since 26 Aug · moved 22 Oct
  3. Profit outlook Serabi Gold SRB£137m new

    Profit warning

    Serabi Gold issued a profit warning on 21 Oct 2026; the shares moved −11% on the day.

    Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −11%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    Profit warning
    −24% since 21 Oct · moved 21 Oct
  4. Profit outlook Genuit Group GEN£640m new

    Subdued market and profit guidance

    Since Nov 2025 profit guidance has tracked a subdued market. In May 2026 FY26 was guided to the lower end of the £94.7m-£105.5m range, and on 11 Aug H1 came in line.

    Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −12%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    FY26 profit guided down to c.£84m
    Next FY26 results with 2027 outlook 1 Mar · in 126 days
    −10% since 20 Oct · moved 20 Oct
  5. Profit outlook Iofina IOF£90m new

    Results below expectations

    Iofina said it is trading below expectations on 16 Oct 2026; the shares moved −7% on the day.

    Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −7%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    Below expectations
    −7% since 16 Oct · moved 16 Oct
  6. Profit outlook Thor Explorations Ltd THX£330m new

    Profit warning

    Thor Explorations Ltd issued a profit warning on 14 Oct 2026; the shares moved −9% on the day.

    Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −9%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    Profit warning
    −17% since 14 Oct · moved 14 Oct
  7. Profit outlook Caledonia Mining Corporation CMCL£310m

    Profit warning

    Caledonia Mining Corporation issued a profit warning on 9 Oct 2026; the shares moved −4% on the day. It is the second such statement in 12 months.

    Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −4%In 12 months 2 statements in the same direction
    Profit warning · second in 12 months
    −11% since 9 Oct · moved 9 Oct
  8. Profit outlook Oxford Metrics OMG£39m

    FY26 guidance cut

    On 17 June 2026 FY26 revenue guidance of c.£56m for the 15 months was confirmed. On 9 October 2026 the Board cut it to £47-51m with an Adjusted EBIT loss of £0.5-3.9m, against market expectations of £56.2m and a £3.0m profit.

    Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −6%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    Warning issued 9 October 2026
    Next Interim results for 12 months to 30 September 2026
    +2% since 9 Oct · moved 9 Oct
  9. Profit outlook MyCelx Technologies Corporation MYX£12m

    Middle East conflict exposure

    Impact on 2026 business was not assessable in May. In July several large Middle East projects were expected within six months.

    Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −20%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    Award missed FY2026 window; revenue moves to FY2027
    Next Middle East purchase order award for the delayed project
    −19% since 8 Oct · moved 8 Oct
  10. Profit outlook Celebrus Technologies CLBS£19m

    New business and logo wins

    The go-to-market restructure (Marketing, Sales, Customer Success) was meant to fix FY26's new business shortfall.

    Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −40%In 12 months 2 statements in the same direction
    Restructure not yet converting; ARR falling
    Next H1 FY27 results and presentation 8 Dec · in 43 days
    −41% since 14 Jul · moved 6 Oct
  11. Profit outlook Tekmar Group TGP£16m

    Middle East disruption to projects

    The 18 June 2026 interims reported Middle East delays, higher costs and deferred Offshore Energy Services activity, with bottlenecks easing.

    Direction below expectations / warningReaction on the day −6%In 12 months 1 statement in the same direction
    Prolonged; now deferring Q4 work and awards
    −6% since 29 Sep · moved 29 Sep

A row opens the situation with its chart and every step. Company pages also show the smaller matters – a new CEO, a plan, a contract, director buying.

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