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Breedon Group (BREE): Market recovery timing

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BREE Breedon Group

£1,136m · 331.6p · +5% since the first step
361.8p 273.0p Now 331.6p · 23 Oct +9% −9% +3% +5% Nov ’25DecJan ’26FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct
11 Mar 2026 · Signs of stabilising UK markets; recovery awaited · −9% until the next step Although there are signs that markets are stabilising, the backdrop remains dynamic
29 Apr 2026 · Q1 LFL +2%; GB residential still weak · +3% until the next step Breedon will announce its interim results for the six months ending 30 June 2026 on Wednesday 29 July 2026.
29 Jul 2026 · US and Ireland growing; GB still declining · +5% since market indicators suggest demand will decline for a fifth consecutive year.
Upgrade / downgrade cycle
Market recovery timing
US and Ireland growing; GB still declining
Next: Second-half trading; GB demand expected to decline a fifth year
Every step · 4
  1. 20 Nov 2025 Guidance below consensus; recovery timing uncertain – While there is still uncertainty about the timing of a market recovery, particularly in the UK, we have an excellent team, three leading platforms and a... ↗
  2. 11 Mar 2026 Signs of stabilising UK markets; recovery awaited – Although there are signs that markets are stabilising, the backdrop remains dynamic ↗
  3. 29 Apr 2026 Q1 LFL +2%; GB residential still weak – Breedon will announce its interim results for the six months ending 30 June 2026 on Wednesday 29 July 2026. ↗
  4. 29 Jul 2026 US and Ireland growing; GB still declining – market indicators suggest demand will decline for a fifth consecutive year. ↗

What is happening

Breedon Group: Market recovery timing – US and Ireland growing; GB still declining. ['US and Ireland growing; GB still declining']

In short
Since the November 2025 guidance, Breedon's underlying sales shrank in 2025 and Q1 2026 LFL revenue returned to +2%. H1 2026 LFL revenue is +3% and Underlying EBITDA flat. US (+14% LFL EBITDA) and Ireland offset GB, where demand is expected to fall a fifth year. Guidance is maintained.
Announced
20 Nov 2025 · Guidance below consensus; recovery timing uncertain
Latest
29 Jul 2026 · US and Ireland growing; GB still declining
H1 LFL revenue
+3% (reported +5%) to £857.9m
GB outlook
Demand expected to decline for a fifth consecutive year in 2026
Group EBITDA
£115.5m, flat (LFL +1%)
Guidance
In line with FY26 consensus £280m (range £273m-£285m)
Ireland outlook
Strong second half with revenue and earnings growth expected

What comes next

Second-half trading; GB demand expected to decline a fifth year.

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Also at Breedon Group 1 open
Project milestonesPeak Cluster carbon capture – Shareholder agreement signed; FEED commenced Insider conviction1 director buying – £55k in 2 buys · closed Insider conviction5 directors buying – £5,891k in 13 buys · closed Insider conviction1 director buying – £5,891k in 1 buy · closed Breedon Group – company page →

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