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Sproule - Sagebrush Is a Flagship Helium Project

In brief · summary, not quotable

Sproule ERCE confirms Sagebrush as technically credible helium project with 134 MMscf 2U helium resource.

  • 2U helium gross prospective resources 134 MMscf
  • Potential gross value at $300/Mcf ~$40 million
  • 3U helium upside 269 MMscf (~$80 million)
  • Sagebrush structural closure 588 acres
  • Mosman working interest 82.5%
  • Helium content confirmed 2.76%
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Mosman Oil and Gas Limited (AIM: MSMN), advancing helium, hydrogen and hydrocarbon projects in the USA, is pleased to announce receipt of the independent resource evaluation for the Sagebrush Project in Colorado, where Mosman holds an 82.5% working interest via its Mosman Helium subsidiary. The report ("Sagebrush Resource Evaluation Report", dated 18 September 2025 and prepared by Sproule ERCE) confirms Sagebrush as a technically credible helium and natural gas project with substantial commercial potential.

Highlights

  • Sproule ERCE confirms Sagebrush as a technically credible helium and natural gas resource under SPE PRMS Standard (*).
  • 2U helium gross prospective resources of 134 MMscf (potential gross value of ~$40 million at $300/Mcf), with upside 3U of 269 MMscf (~$80 million).
  • 588-acre four-way structural closure identified, with additional upside in the overlying Ismay and deeper Leadville sections.
  • Independent verification materially strengthens Mosman's standing among AIM-listed helium peers and underpins the investment case.

Sproule ERCE Report

A summary of the independent resource volumes certified by Sproule ERCE is set out below.

Table 1: Summary of Gross Raw Gas Resource Volumes (MMscf)

1U2U3U
Total Gas2,9064,8429,760
Hydrocarbon Gas6611,1012,218
Helium80134269
CO ₂1,1611,9643,899

Source: Sproule Sagebrush Resource Evaluation Report

Sproule ERCE's independent evaluation reviewed the Four Corners Helium (FCH) report, dated 5 May 2025, petrophysical analysis, and seismic mapping of the Sagebrush-1 well.

Key outcomes:

  • Gross 1U of 80 MMscf helium, 2U of 134 MMscf, and 3U of 269 MMscf.
  • Gas composition confirmed helium content of 2.76%, with ~19.5% methane and ~3% heavier hydrocarbons.
  • Additional hydrocarbon resource gross volumes have a potential value estimated between $3-10 million, with greater upside possible through power generation use.
  • Untested deeper Leadville intervals showed hydrocarbon indications, providing further upside.

Table 2: Summary of Net 1U (Conservative) Gas Resource Volumes to Mosman's Working Interest After Royalty

HydrocarbonsHelium
Gross66180
Less 16.67% Royalty11013
Net of Royalty55167
Mosman 82.5% (net)45555

Source; Mosman internal calculations

Table 3: Summary of Net 2U (Best Estimate) Gas Resource Volumes to Mosman's Working Interest After Royalty

HydrocarbonsHelium
Gross1101134
Less 16.67% Royalty18422
Net of Royalty917112
Mosman 82.5% (net)75792

Source; Mosman internal calculations

Table 4: Summary of Net 3U (Upside Case) Gas Resource Volumes to Mosman's Working Interest After Royalty

HydrocarbonsHelium
Gross2218269
Less 16.67% Royalty37045
Net of Royalty1848224
Mosman 82.5% (net)1525185

Source; Mosman internal calculations

Selected Quotes From The Report

"The Leadville Formation has become a premier helium target in North America, with recent discoveries demonstrating exceptional helium concentrations that far exceed typical commercial thresholds."

"The structure is a robust basement high, confirmed by several vintages of tightly spaced swath 2D seismic lines and reprocessed seismic data. There is a well-defined, fault-enhanced four-way closure at the Top Leadville horizon covering 588 acres. Seismic data indicate a possible dual target with the overlying Ismay Formation which warrants future evaluation."

"The Sagebrush-1 Leadville Formation represents a technically credible helium and natural gas resource with sufficient potential to justify further investment in production testing and advanced seismic and petrophysical analysis."

"Sproule ERCE reviewed the FCH initial report on the Sagebrush Helium Prospect and found that it meets acceptable industry standards for a HIGH CASE deterministic evaluation of the prospect."

Next Steps

  • Acquisition of high-resolution 3D seismic (~16 square miles) scheduled to commence in October 2025. The survey will provide a much clearer picture of subsurface structures, refine the Sagebrush Leadville closure, and identify additional prospects across both Sagebrush and Coyote Wash.
  • Extended flow testing of Sagebrush-1, with acid stimulation to enhance productivity (Q4 2025).
  • Progress evaluation of the combined Leadville/Ismay potential.
  • Advance surface facilities planning, including assessment of pipeline and processing options.

Porosity

In May 2025, Mosman released its internal estimate of contingent resources for Sagebrush, which indicated a higher best estimate of helium volumes (C2 of 305 MMscf gross, 205 MMscf net to Mosman). The subsequent Sproule ERCE audit has applied more conservative technical parameters, resulting in lower prospective figures.

The main difference is porosity. Mosman's internal analysis utilised an 8% porosity value, supported by in-house petrophysics and core data from analogue Leadville wells. Sproule ERCE applied a more conservative 4.6% "most likely" porosity, which has the effect of reducing calculated volumes. The Company believes this approach understates the contribution from dolomite intervals, vugs and fractures observed in other producing Leadville reservoirs.

While Sproule's conservative stance is in line with their reputation as a leading independent auditor, Mosman remains confident that real reservoir performance will prove stronger. The Company therefore regards the Sproule 2U case of 134 MMscf helium as a baseline from which to build and sees material potential to achieve or exceed these figures as production testing and 3D seismic data are integrated.

Commercial Perspective

At current helium prices, the 2U gross case equates to a potential purified liquid helium value of ~$40 million at $300/Mcf, with the 3U outcome approaching ~$80 million. Methane and other hydrocarbons provide additional direct sales value of $3-10 million, but their potential for power generation may significantly exceed this.

The potential restart of the Lisbon Valley helium plant nearby could materially lower capital costs and accelerate commercialisation.

Importance of Independent Validation

Third-party resource audits provide critical assurance to investors and regulators. This validation from Sproule ERCE - a globally recognised resource auditor - materially strengthens Mosman's investment case.

Howard McLaughlin, Interim CEO of Mosman, commented: "This independent validation by Sproule ERCE is a very significant milestone for Mosman. Sagebrush is now confirmed as both technically credible and commercially attractive. While Sproule has applied conservative assumptions, we believe real reservoir performance will exceed the 2U outcome, consistent with producing Leadville reservoirs. With 3D seismic set to begin and extended flow testing later this year, Mosman is building strong momentum toward unlocking Sagebrush as a flagship development."

Sagebrush Project

The Sagebrush-1 well was drilled in 1993 to a depth of 7,467 feet, targeting the Leadville and Ismay formations. While the Ismay zone went on to produce more than 300,000 barrels of oil, a drill stem test in the Leadville flowed gas containing 2.76% helium, ~19.5% methane and heavier hydrocarbons. Wireline logs confirmed up to 94 feet of net gas pay.

The DST shut-in pressure continued to build at the end of the test, suggesting higher flow rates could be achieved with modern completion techniques. The well was cased and remains available for re-entry and further testing, providing Mosman with a significant time and cost advantage in advancing the project.

The historical data from 1993 has been independently reviewed by Sproule ERCE and is considered reliable for resource assessment purposes.

Glossary

TermDefinition
1U / Low EstimateAt least a 90% probability that the quantities recovered will equal or exceed this estimate.
2U / Best EstimateAt least a 50% probability that the quantities recovered will equal or exceed this estimate. Often considered the "most likely" case.
3U / High EstimateAt least a 10% probability that the quantities recovered will equal or exceed this estimate. Represents upside potential.
DST (Drill Stem Test)A temporary well test conducted to determine the presence and productivity of hydrocarbons or helium in a formation.
PorosityThe percentage of pore volume or void space, or that volume within rock that can contain fluids. Porosity can be generated by the development of fractures, in which case it is called fracture porosity. Effective porosity is the interconnected pore volume in a rock that contributes to fluid flow in a reservoir. It excludes isolated pores. Total porosity is the total void space in the rock whether or not it contributes to fluid flow. Thus, effective porosity is typically less than total porosity.
PRMSPetroleum Resources Management System, the globally recognized framework issued by the Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE) and partners, used for classifying petroleum and non-hydrocarbon resources.

Cleaned text: letterheads, contacts and legal notices removed. View the original announcement ↗ · Company filings. Not investment advice.

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